Mar 6, 2015

SELL GOLD WHEN NEWSRELEASE

SELL GOLD AROUND 1195
TAKE PROFIT 1187
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Jan 5, 2015



Gold edged higher with the beginning of 2015, and the upside move took it to trade above the resistance of the downside move and above Linear Regression Indicator 34, while trading above them is positive. In fact, trading above 1181.85 is positive this week and stabilizing above it triggers a new attempt to breach 1213.05 and move towards 1238.25 again.

From the downside, breaking 1181.85 and stabilizing below it pushes the price towards 1159.20 at least, and breaking this level gets the price into a new bearish wave that targets the previous bottom 1131.40.

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Support1195.001190.001181.851168.001159.20
Resistance1200.001205.001213.051220.001226.60
Recommendation
Positive expectations above 1195.00, risk-limit below 1180.00.


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May 9, 2014

News Date: 9/5/2014 07:32:40

News Date: 9/5/2014 07:32:40


The metal remained limited above 1285.10 yesterday keeping the positive expectations. We notice today a negative crossover on Linear Regression Indicators which contradicts with the positivity of stabilizing above 1285.10. We depended yesterday on achieving higher lows, however, as the price is stable above 1277.00 - 1276.00 stren
gthening the possibility of a bullish wave.

Therefore, we will benefit from the appropriate Risk/Reward Ratios to suggest an upside move for today with the same stop-loss and break 1277.00. As soon as the stop-loss is achieved we will become negative.

Breaching and stabilizing above 1300.00 levels is significant to confirm positivity today and the upcoming period.

Support1285.001280.001277.901272.001266.55
Resistance1293.001296.601300.001305.001309.35
Recommendation
Based on the above, long gold at 1290.00, targeting 1296.00, 1330.00, then 1309.00, and stop-loss below 1276.00.

In case of stop-loss, selling gold below 1276.00 targeting 1266.00 and 1260.00 then 1250.00 with stop-loss above 1296.25 levels.

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gold for today

Main scenario:
The pair is trading along an sideways trend.
An uptrend will start from support levels 1289.50, which will be followed by moving up to resistance level 1294 and then to 1302.
Alternative scenario:
An downtrend will start as soon, as the pair drops below support level 1287, which will be followed by moving down to support level 1284 and then to 1277.
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May 8, 2014

Gold forecast 08.05.14




The metal dropped sharply yesterday after failing to remain stable above 1309.35 and achieved the stop-loss
suggested in yesterday's recommendation, but failed to break below 50% correction at 1285.00 showing on graph. The downside move is only a retest to the bearish resistance level that started from the top 1387.00; as the price is close to 50% correction, we will bet today on an upside move only by counting on stability above 1285.00 and the referred to bearish resistance that was previously breached.

On the above graph, we notice higher lows supporting our decision today of becoming neutral despite achieving yesterday's stop-loss of our buying position, but we will place stop-loss at 1276.00 and we will reverse our expectations to negative if achieved.

Support1285.001280.001277.901272.001266.55
Resistance1293.001296.601300.001305.001309.35
Recommendation
Based on the above, long gold at 1290.00, targeting 1296.00, 1330.00, then 1309.00, and stop-loss below 1276.00.

In case of stop-loss, selling gold below 1276.00 targeting 1266.00 and 1260.00 then 1250.00 with stop-loss above 1296.25 levels.


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Gold forecast daily

Gold within a sideways track – Analysis - 08/05/2014
 
Gold price’s trading settled below 1300.00 level as we mentioned in our last technical update, to delay resuming the overall bullish trend, and the trading is confined between the sideways range lines which are represented by 1277.60 support and 1320.00 resistance, and the price needs to surpass one of these levels to detect its next targets clearly.

Stochastic provides positive signals that supports achieving some bullish bias in the upcoming period, but we prefer monitoring gold price behavior according to the above mentioned levels to get clearer confirmation signals, pointing that breaking 1277.60 support will push the price to visit 1250.00 level mainly, while breaching above the resistance will open the way for targeting 1350.00 then 1400.00 levels initially.

Expected trading range for today is between: 1270.00 support and 1320.00 resistance.

Expected trend for today: Sideways















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May 7, 2014

Gold forecast 07.05.2014




Yesterday's volatility remained limited above Linear Regression Indicator 55, as we witness today a new attempt to confirm stability above 1309.35 levels. The metal should stabilize above the mentioned level 1309.35 in order not to form bearish corrections especially that RSI 14 and MACD are showing weakness.

Generally, trading above 1300.00 is positive today while the overall upside move depends on stability above 1277.00. Of note, resistance levels 1318.10 and 1324.35 could be strong, so the metal should break above these levels to extend the upside move.

Support1309.351305.001300.001296.251293.00
Resistance1318.101324.351331.501339.751348.40
Recommendation
Based on the above, long gold at 1309.35, targeting 1324.00, 1339.00, then 13487.00, and stop-loss below 1296.00.

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Gold forecast




On the four-hour graph, we notice a positive crossover on Linear Regression Indicators accompanied by trading around 1309.35 represented in 38.2% correction of the bullish wave that started from the bottom 1182.00 reaching the top 1387.00. Stability above 1300.00 is positive; but because RSI touched line 70 then dropped, the metal should stabilize above 1309.35 to keep the bullish bias without any corrections.

Generally, stabilizing above 1277.00 keeps the bullish possibility valid, but stability above 1285.00 is required to strengthen this possibility.
Support1305.001300.001296.251293.001285.00
Resistance1315.001323.201331.401339.351347.20
Recommendation
Based on the above, long gold above 1309.35, targeting 1323.00, 1339.00, then 1347.00, and stop-loss below 1296.00.
Note: This is only to define the trend, for more details please visit theRecommendation section



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May 6, 2014

GOLD, FORECAST , 06/05/14


Main scenario:

The pair is trading along an uptrend.
The uptrend may be expected to continue while pair is trading above support level 1303, which will be followed by reaching resistance level 1320.
Alternative scenario:
An downtrend will start as soon, as the pair drops below support level 1303, which will be followed by moving down to support level 1293.
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Sep 17, 2013

test

Hi for test only
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Sep 12, 2013

Gold Price Analysis Sept. 12, 2013

The gold market appears to be stable with the bulls and bears gaining and losing ground almost equally during the Asian session. On Wednesday the XAU/USD pair had a slightly bullish session as the American dollar weakened across the board. Although the pair bounced off of the bottom of the ascending trade channel which the market has been respecting over the last 12 weeks, the lack of strong momentum will certainly be something to watch.
Recently, gold prices have been under the pressure on reduced likelihood of a U.S. military action against Syria. In the meantime, the markets are still waiting to see how the Federal Reserve will react to the changes in the economy and how U.S. politicians deal with the debt ceiling issue. The reduction of asset purchases may be the catalyst that the bears need to push gold prices lower but this could also lead some investors to shift money from equities to gold.
At this point, I think most traders will be reluctant to take sizable positions, long or short. From a technical point of view, trading above the Ichimoku cloud on the daily chart suggests the bulls still have an advantage over the medium term.
XAUUSD Daily 91213
However, the XAU/USD pair is trading below the Ichimoku cloud on the 4-hour time frame and we have bearish Tenkan-sen (nine-period moving average, red line) - Kijun-sen (twenty six-day moving average, green line) cross. Because of that, if the 1353 support level is breached, it is probable that prices will continue to grind lower. If that is the case, expect to see support at 1345, 1333 and 1324. To the upside, the 1380 and 1395 levels where the Ichimoku cloud resides will be the first critical barrier for the pair. The bulls will have to break and hold above the 1400 level in order to gain enough traction to challenge the bears at 1416 and 1425.
XAUUSD 4hr 91213
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Gold forecast 12/09/13

Gold is retesting the rising trend line for the overall short-term bullish trend, in addition to the key horizontal support region that start from 1358.00 to 1347.00; we mentioned earlier that this might be the last defense for the ongoing bullish trend, as breaking below it may signal the resumption of the medium term bearish trend. Technically, we should maintain the bullish view so long as this area is holding.

Support1358.001352.001346.001340.001333.00
Resistance1368.001373.001380.001393.001400.00
RecommendationLong above 1352.00, targets at 1368.00, 1380.00 and 1400.00. Invalidation with four-hour closing below 1347.00.
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gold forecast

Gold prices (XAU/USD) settled lower yesterday on easing Syrian tensions and speculations the Federal Reserve will adjust the pace of monthly asset purchases based on improvement in the economic outlook (currently the Fed purchases longer-term treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month and mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month).
After breaking below the 1380 support level, the XAU/USD pair hit the lowest level since August 22. The pair is currently trading at 1363.86 and it seems that the bears are getting ready to tackle 1353 and 1345 support levels. However, looking at the daily chart from a purely technical point of view, the odds favor a bit of a bounce at this point because the bottom line of the ascending channel which the pair has been following for almost 12 weeks sits here.
XAUUSD Daily 91113
If the bulls successfully hold the pair inside the ascending channel and prices reverse, expect to see resistance at the 1380 and 1395 levels which defines the borders of the Ichimoku cloud on the 4-hour time frame. I think that climbing above the 1400 level would lure some investors back to the market and increase the possibility of a bullish attempt to revisit the 1416 – 1425 resistance area. If the bears want to dominate the market, they will have to pull prices below the 1345 level on a daily basis. In that case, I would be looking for 1333 and 1324 which happens to be the Fibonacci 23.6 retracement based on the bearish run from 1795.75 to 1180.21.
XAUUSD 4hr 91113

Gold forecast

Midday update for Gold 11/09/2013
 
The tight range keeps controlling gold trading since morning, which remains fluctuating near the bullish channel support, which makes us keep our waited bullish trend expectations, where achieving it conditioned by holding above 1358.00

Expected trading range for today is between: 1340.00 support and 1400.00 resistance.

Expected trend for today: Bullish

Jul 16, 2013

Gold Technicals – Higher on speculative demand

Gold Technicals – Higher on speculative demand

 \ 1:17 AM EDT \ July 15th, 2013
Gold recorded the biggest weekly gain since October 2011, thanks to Ben Bernanke’s speech on Wednesday following the release of FOMC Meeting Minutes, telling markets that QE3 will be here to stay for the “foreseeable future”. This propelled Gold higher, as USD weakened significantly following the news, allowing the yellow metal to push above the 1,200 USD per ounce level which happens to be the cost price for mining and refining gold currently. Besides fundamental reasons which favor a slightly more expensive Gold, Hedge Funds were also seen buying more Gold last week after the news, suggesting that speculators are getting back in the game. CFTC Commitment of Trader latest data shows speculators increasing their net-long position by 4.1% for Gold Futures and Options, affirming the reports about Hedge Funds. It is also important to note that the numbers released pertain to 9th July data, which is 1 day before Bernanke’s speech. Putting 2 and 2 together, it stands to reason to believe that current speculative long positions should be even higher.
Weekly Chart
http://forexblog.oanda.com/mserve/XAUUSD_150713W1Retry.PNG
From a technical perspective, we are looking at a potential bullish reversal Candlestick pattern – with a Morning Star bullish pattern formed on the weekly chart. Early Asian trade saw prices extending last week’s gain slightly, moving price back up towards the 1,300 – 1,330 resistance. Stochastic readings are also on the verge of signalling a strong bull cycle sign, suggesting that a move upwards is likely, and may even allow price to break the aforementioned resistance band for a test of the descending Channel Bottom (purple color). This would also mean that a break of current steeper decline, which would allow price to alleviate current strong bearish pressure – potentially allow price to trade horizontally for a few weeks similar to what we’ve seen in April (post decline) and June 2013.
Hourly Chart
http://forexblog.oanda.com/mserve/XAUUSD_150713H1Retry.PNG
Hourly Chart is currently above the 1,289 ceiling which will provide some support. Even should price break lower, it is possible that support can be sought from the Kumo, and below which the rising trendline. Forward Kumo is also bullish with a recent bullish “Kumo Twist” which occurred just a few hours prior in conjunction with the break of 1,289 ceiling, suggesting that a retest towards 1,299 last week’s swing high is possible. Stochastic readings are currently Overbought, but readings have averted a bearish cycle signal with readings currently pointing higher, suggesting that an interim trough has been in place within the Overbought levels. Furthermore, considering that longer-term trend is gaining bullish momentum, it is possible that short-term counter-trend signals are less effective given such situation.
Moving forward, we should keep a keen lookout for this Friday’s COT numbers for both Gold Futures and Gold Physical. Should net position continue to gain, then this would mean that Hedge Funds are buying AND holding, which will put prices in a much better position for a longer bullish correction higher. If speculative net-long positions decrease, then we should discount the Hedge Fund buying news as it would appear that these buyers are simply buying for the short-term dead cat bounce, which puts the recovery towards 1,300 and higher in doubt

Jun 26, 2013

26/06

ទីផ្សារមាសបានធ្លាក់អស់គ្រាន់តែបន្ដិចក្នុងអំឡុងសម័យកាលពីថ្ងៃអង្គារប៉ុន្តែនៅតែមានសារៈសំខាន់របស់ផ្ទះមាន។ យើងជឿថាយើងស្ថិតនៅក្នុងតំបន់មួយដែលនៅពេលនោះគួរតែផ្ដល់នូវប៊ីតនៃការគាំទ្រដែរ។ Nonetheless យើងពេញចិត្តនឹងការលក់ប្រមូលផ្តុំគ្នាទៅមុខជាពិសេសនៅជុំវិញកម្រិត $ 1350 ដូចដែលវាត្រូវបានមើលទៅភាពធន់ទ្រាំយ៉ាងសំខាន់នៅពេលនេះ។ ជម្មើសជំនួសយើងជឿជាក់ថាទីផ្សារមាសនឹងទៅខ្ពស់ជាងនេះច្រើនប៉ុន្តែវាមិនបាន bottomed ចេញនៅឡើយទេហើយជាលទ្ធផលមួយដែលយើងជាធម្មតាមិនទិញវានោះទេ។ យើងគិតថាមានប្រហែលខ្ពស់ដែលនឹងមានជាច្រើនរយៈពេលខ្លីនៅក្នុងឱកាសការលក់នាពេលអនាគតដ៏ខ្លីខាងមុខបើទោះបីជា។

Jun 24, 2013

24.06.13

Please kindly to find my attached file of  Gold Trading Strategy from Organizations on 24th June 2013.
យុទ្ធសាស្រ្ត​ជួញដូរ​មាស​សម្រាប់​អង្គភាព​ 24/06/2013
យុទ្ធសាស្រ្ត​ជួញដូរ​មាស​សម្រាប់​អង្គភាព​​ក្រៅ​ស្រុក
1.   Action Forex
យុទ្ធសាស្រ្ត​ចម្បង: លក់​នៅ​ខាង​ក្រោម​តម្លៃ 1326, កំណត់​ការ​ចំណេញ(take profit): 1270 - 1244
យុទ្ធសាស្រ្ត​បន្ទាប់​: ទិញ​នៅ​ខាង​លើតម្លៃ 1326, កំណត់​ការ​ចំណេញ(take profit): 1351 - 1375

2. Kitco
លក់​នៅ​ខាង​ក្រោម​តម្លៃ:1298, កំណត់​ការ​ខាត(stop loss):1303, កំណត់​ការ​ចំណេញ(take profit): 1280
យុទ្ធសាស្រ្ត​ជួញដូរ​មាស​សម្រាប់​អង្គភាព​​ក្នុង​​ស្រុក
1. VGTA
ទិញ​នៅ​ចន្លោះ 1285-1290, កំណត់​
ចំណេញ(stop loss):1300, កំណត់​ការ​ខាត​(take profit): 1280
2. VGI
លក់​នៅ​ចន្លោះ: 1298 - 1300, កំណត់​ការ​ខាត(stop loss):1307, កំណត់​ការ​ចំណេញ(take profit): 1289

3. IGI
ទិញ​នៅ​ចន្លោះ 1285-1290, កំណត់​ការ​ចំណេញ(take profit): 1306, កំណត់​ការ​ខាត(stop loss):1283

Jun 14, 2013

EUR/USD -

News Date: 14/6/2013 06:03:41


Despite the negative pressures the pair witnessed yesterday, we find it stable above 1.3340 levels represented in 61.8% correction shown on graph. Stability above 1.3340 keeps our expectations positive,as we think the pair might face a bullish wave today. The pair is targeting 1.3505 levels for a start, and stability above 1.3225 keeps these expectations during the upcoming period.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.3225 and key resistance at 1.3505.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside targeting 1.3600 as far as areas of 1.2970 remains intact.
Support1.33401.33101.32701.32251.3170
Resistance1.33851.34401.34851.35051.3545
Recommendation
Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is buying the pair above 1.3340 targeting 1.3385, 1.3440 then 1.3505 and stop-loss with four-hour closing below 1.3270 might be appropriate

14.06.13

Short Term trend: Bearish
Intraday Bias: Bearsih


Gold has been trapped within a very narrow range this week and seems that the market is preparing for a huge move over upcoming sessions. RSI 14 remains stable below the value of 50.00, suggesting potential downside movements. A break below 1466.00-FE 38.2%- of the above seen wave to confirm our bearish scenario. On the upside, only a break above 1425.00 will negate.
** Short term (Less than three months)
** Chart is based on GMT+2 timing
Notes: 
*if price reaches within 20% from target before triggering entry, signal is canceled and not valid anymore.
Support1380.001373.001366.001363.001360.00
Resistance1395.001400.001414.001425.001437.00
RecommendationBased on the chart and explanations above, sell gold below 1400.00 targeting 1330.00 and stop loss above 1425.00 could be appropriate

Jun 3, 2013

daily forecast

 បានបញ្ចប់សប្តាហ៍បន្ទាប់ពីការចុះទាបជាងតម្លៃកាលពីថ្ងៃសុក្រសកម្មភាពរបស់ bearish ។ តម្លៃមាសឡើងថ្លៃបានធ្លាក់ចុះយ៉ាងខ្លាំងនៅថ្ងៃចុងក្រោយនៃការធ្វើពាណិជ្ជកម្មមួយសប្តាហ៍និងខែបន្ទាប់ពីទិន្នន័យសេដ្ឋកិច្ចដែលបានចេញផ្សាយពីសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិកបានផ្តល់ភស្តុតាងបន្ថែមទៀតថាសេដ្ឋកិច្ចដ៏ធំបំផុតរបស់ពិភពលោកកំពុងបន្តទៅងើបឡើងវិញ។ លេខចុងក្រោយបំផុតបង្ហាញថាសាកលវិទ្យាល័យ Michigan បានសន្ទស្សន៍វេទនាអតិថិជនបានកើនឡើងដល់ 84,5 ពី 76.4 ខែមុននិងក្រុង Chicago PMI បានកើនឡើងដល់ 58.7 នៅក្នុងខែឧសភាពី 49 នៅក្នុងខែមេសា។ បើយោងទៅតាមទាយជ្ជទាននៃរបាយការណ៍អាជីវករបានចេញផ្សាយដោយគណៈកម្មការជួញដូរទំនិញនាពេលអនាគតក្រុមអាជីវករប្រថុយប្រថានបន្តទៀតដើម្បីបង្កើនមុខតំណែងខ្លីរបស់ពួកគេ។ ទិន្នន័យកាលពីថ្ងៃសុក្ររបស់ stoked ប៉ាន់ប្រមាណថាសហព័ន្ធបម្រុងអាចបន្ថយទិញទ្រព្យសម្បត្តិរបស់ខ្លួននៅក្នុងប៉ុន្មានខែខាងមុខនិង bears បានប្រើឱកាសនេះដើម្បីបង្កើនសម្ពាធលក់និងតម្លៃអូសខាងក្រោម 1400 កម្រិត។ កម្រិតនេះត្រូវបានលំងជាមុន Bull ដែល 'សម្រាប់ពេលខ្លះហើយវាប្រហែលជានៅតែបន្តធ្វើដូច្នេះ។ ទៀនប្រចាំសប្តាហ៍បានបង្ហាញថាតម្លៃខ្ពស់ជាងនេះត្រូវបានច្រានចោលដោយឈ្មួញ។ នៅលើតារាងប្រចាំសប្តាហ៍និងប្រចាំថ្ងៃនេះគូ XAU / ដុលា្លារនៅតែខាងក្រោមពពក Ichimoku ហើយយើងមាន bearish Tenkan-សែន (ប្រាំបួន-period ការផ្លាស់ប្តូរមធ្យមបន្ទាត់ពណ៌ក្រហម) - Kijun-សែន (ម្ភៃប្រាំមួយថ្ងៃជាមធ្យមការផ្លាស់ទីបន្ទាត់ពណ៌បៃតង) crosses បង្ហាញថាទស្សនវិស័យរយៈពេលវែងគឺនៅតែមាន bearish ។
សប្តាហ៍នេះខ្ញុំគិតថា 1400 និង 1372,50 នឹងកម្រិតសំខាន់ដទៃទៀតដើម្បីមើល។ បើទោះបីជាការរួមបញ្ចូលគ្នានៃកត្តាគាំទ្រមាសដូចជាការទិញដោយធនាគារកណ្តាលនិងតម្រូវការកើនឡើងសម្រាប់មាសរាងកាយមួយដែលខ្ញុំនឹងត្រូវបានយកចិត្តទុកដាក់បន្ថែមទៀតដើម្បីបង់តារាង។ ក្នុងពេលតំណាលគ្នានេះដែរខ្ញុំក៏នឹងរក្សាភ្នែកនៅលើផែដុ្លរ / JPY និងភាគហ៊ុនរបស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក។ ប្រសិនបើការលក់បង្កើនល្បឿនវិនិយោគិនអាចនឹងបោះបង់ចោលការស្តុកនិងនាំគ្នាទៅជាមាស។ ប្រសិនបើគូនេះបានដោយជោគជ័យទម្លាក់ខាងក្រោម 1372,50 វានឹងបន្តនៅភ្ញាក់ផ្អើលដែលអតិថិជន bearish និងសាកល្បងកម្រិតការគាំទ្រ 1360 ។ បិទប្រចាំសប្តាហ៍ខាងក្រោម 1354,50 មានន័យថា 1338 និង 1320 នឹងគោលដៅនៅពេលបន្ទាប់។ ប្រសិនបើ Bull បានគ្រប់គ្រងដើម្បីជំរុញឱ្យតម្លៃកើនឡើងមកវិញហើយបិទខាងលើ 1400 មានកម្រិតយើងប្រហែលជាអាចមើលឃើញជាបន្តសុទិដ្ឋិនិយមដែលផ្ដោតសំខាន់ទៅ 1442 យ៉ាងហោចណាស់។ ទោះយ៉ាងណាបើថាគឺជាករណីដែលរំពឹងថានឹងមើលឃើញថាការតស៊ូនៅ 1411/3 និង 1430 ។